2024 Polls 365mail. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,”. Stay up to date on all the latest 2024 election and state of the union polls.

This is an electoral map based on the polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. Data for fivethirtyeight’s previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here.